How to Pick the Capitals vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – March 1
Published 12:46 pm Friday, February 28, 2025
There are a variety of betting options to consider for the upcoming game that has the Washington Capitals squaring off against the Tampa Bay Lightning at 12:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 1. To get you prepared to make a bet or put together a parlay, take a look at our best bets and projections below.
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Capitals vs. Lightning Picks
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Total Pick
Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 6.2 goals)
- Washington and its opponent have combined for more than Saturday’s over/under of 5.5 goals 32 times this season.
- So far this season, 31 games Tampa Bay has played finished with over 5.5 goals.
- These two teams combine for 7.2 goals per game, 1.6999999999999993 more than the over/under for this contest.
- These two teams allow a combined 5.2 goals per game, 0.3 less than this one’s over/under.
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Moneyline Pick
Capitals Moneyline: -128
- The Capitals have won 61.8% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (21-13).
- In games it has played with moneyline odds of -128 or shorter, Washington is 18-11 (winning 62.1% of the time).
- Based on the moneyline in this game, the Capitals’ implied win probability is 56.1%.
Lightning Moneyline: +108
- In Tampa Bay’s 16 games as the underdog on the moneyline this season, it has six wins.
- The Lightning have three wins in games when their moneyline odds are +108 or longer (in nine such games).
- Tampa Bay has a 48.1% chance to win this game (implied from the moneyline odds).
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Score Prediction
Prediction:
Washington 4, Tampa Bay 2
Capitals Points Leaders
- Dylan Strome has been critical to Washington’s offense this season, recording 59 points in 59 games.
- Having scored 23 goals and adding 27 assists, Aliaksei Protas is a strong contributor for Washington through 59 games.
- Washington’s scoring effort is aided by Pierre-Luc Dubois’ 50 points. He’s contributed 35 assists.
- Logan Thompson (25-3-5) has a 2.3 goals against average and a save percentage of .919 for Washington.
Lightning Points Leaders
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded 27 goals (0.5 per game) and put up 58 assists (one per game), averaging 3.3 shots per game and shooting 14.2%. That makes him among the leaders for Tampa Bay with 85 total points (1.5 per game).
- Brandon Hagel’s 67 points this season, including 29 goals and 38 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Tampa Bay.
- Brayden Point has scored 31 goals and contributed 29 assists for Tampa Bay, giving him a point total of 60.
- Andrei Vasilevskiy has a .922 save percentage (fourth-best in the league), with 1182 total saves, while conceding 100 goals (2.2 goals against average). He has put together a 28-15-3 record between the posts for Tampa Bay this season.
Capitals’ Schedule
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Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
2/23/2025 | Oilers | W 7-3 | Home | +117 |
2/25/2025 | Flames | L 3-1 | Home | -201 |
2/27/2025 | Blues | L 5-2 | Home | -164 |
3/1/2025 | Lightning | – | Home | -128 |
3/3/2025 | Senators | – | Home | – |
3/5/2025 | Rangers | – | Away | – |
3/7/2025 | Red Wings | – | Home | – |
Lightning’s Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
2/23/2025 | Kraken | W 4-1 | Home | -279 |
2/25/2025 | Oilers | W 4-1 | Home | -120 |
2/27/2025 | Flames | W 3-0 | Home | -219 |
3/1/2025 | Capitals | – | Away | +108 |
3/3/2025 | Panthers | – | Away | – |
3/4/2025 | Blue Jackets | – | Home | – |
3/6/2025 | Sabres | – | Home | – |
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Washington vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
- Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
- Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
- How to watch on TV: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Location: Washington D.C.
- Venue: Capital One Arena
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