How to Pick the Capitals vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – March 1

Published 12:46 pm Friday, February 28, 2025

There are a variety of betting options to consider for the upcoming game that has the Washington Capitals squaring off against the Tampa Bay Lightning at 12:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 1. To get you prepared to make a bet or put together a parlay, take a look at our best bets and projections below.

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Capitals vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

  • Washington and its opponent have combined for more than Saturday’s over/under of 5.5 goals 32 times this season.
  • So far this season, 31 games Tampa Bay has played finished with over 5.5 goals.
  • These two teams combine for 7.2 goals per game, 1.6999999999999993 more than the over/under for this contest.
  • These two teams allow a combined 5.2 goals per game, 0.3 less than this one’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick

Capitals Moneyline: -128

  • The Capitals have won 61.8% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (21-13).
  • In games it has played with moneyline odds of -128 or shorter, Washington is 18-11 (winning 62.1% of the time).
  • Based on the moneyline in this game, the Capitals’ implied win probability is 56.1%.

Lightning Moneyline: +108

  • In Tampa Bay’s 16 games as the underdog on the moneyline this season, it has six wins.
  • The Lightning have three wins in games when their moneyline odds are +108 or longer (in nine such games).
  • Tampa Bay has a 48.1% chance to win this game (implied from the moneyline odds).

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Washington 4, Tampa Bay 2

Capitals Points Leaders

  • Dylan Strome has been critical to Washington’s offense this season, recording 59 points in 59 games.
  • Having scored 23 goals and adding 27 assists, Aliaksei Protas is a strong contributor for Washington through 59 games.
  • Washington’s scoring effort is aided by Pierre-Luc Dubois’ 50 points. He’s contributed 35 assists.
  • Logan Thompson (25-3-5) has a 2.3 goals against average and a save percentage of .919 for Washington.

Lightning Points Leaders

  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded 27 goals (0.5 per game) and put up 58 assists (one per game), averaging 3.3 shots per game and shooting 14.2%. That makes him among the leaders for Tampa Bay with 85 total points (1.5 per game).
  • Brandon Hagel’s 67 points this season, including 29 goals and 38 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Tampa Bay.
  • Brayden Point has scored 31 goals and contributed 29 assists for Tampa Bay, giving him a point total of 60.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy has a .922 save percentage (fourth-best in the league), with 1182 total saves, while conceding 100 goals (2.2 goals against average). He has put together a 28-15-3 record between the posts for Tampa Bay this season.

Capitals’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/23/2025 Oilers W 7-3 Home +117
2/25/2025 Flames L 3-1 Home -201
2/27/2025 Blues L 5-2 Home -164
3/1/2025 Lightning Home -128
3/3/2025 Senators Home
3/5/2025 Rangers Away
3/7/2025 Red Wings Home

Lightning’s Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/23/2025 Kraken W 4-1 Home -279
2/25/2025 Oilers W 4-1 Home -120
2/27/2025 Flames W 3-0 Home -219
3/1/2025 Capitals Away +108
3/3/2025 Panthers Away
3/4/2025 Blue Jackets Home
3/6/2025 Sabres Home

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Washington vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

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