For the upcoming battle between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Washington Capitals on Saturday at 12:30 p.m. ET, we have outlined the best bets to ponder, along with our picks and predictions, in the article below.

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Lightning vs. Capitals Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

• This season, 31 of Tampa Bay’s 58 games have gone over Saturday’s over/under of 6 goals.
• In Washington’s 59 games this season, 32 have finished with more goals than Saturday’s total of 6.
• The Lightning score 3.57 goals per game, compared to the Capitals’ average of 3.63, adding up to 1.2 more goals than this contest’s over/under of 6.
• The 5.2 goals per game these two teams concede are 0.8 less than the over/under set for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -111

• The Lightning have been victorious in 28 of their 42 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (66.7%).
• Tampa Bay is 28-14 in games it has played with moneyline odds of -111 or shorter (66.7% win percentage).
• Based on the moneyline in this contest, the Lightning’s implied win probability is 52.6%.

Capitals Moneyline: -109

• Washington has pulled off an upset victory 17 times when playing as the moneyline underdog this season (in 25 games as the underdog).
• The Capitals have 17 victories in games with moneyline odds of -109 or longer (in 25 chances).
• Washington’s moneyline gives it an implied probability of 52.2% to win this contest.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Washington 4, Tampa Bay 2

Lightning Points Leaders

• Nikita Kucherov has been critical to Tampa Bay’s offense this season, racking up 85 points in 55 games.
• Having scored 29 goals and adding 38 assists, Brandon Hagel is a strong contributor for Tampa Bay through 58 games.
• On 135 shots (for 31 goals) and 29 assists, Brayden Point has contributed 60 points this season.
• In the 46 games Andrei Vasilevskiy has played this season, his save percentage is .922, the fourth-best in the league.

Capitals Points Leaders

• Dylan Strome is an important part of the offense for Washington, with 59 points this season. He has put up 18 goals and 41 assists in 59 games.
• Aliaksei Protas is a top contributor for Washington, with 50 total points this season. He has scored 23 goals and provided 27 assists in 59 games.
• Pierre-Luc Dubois has 14 goals and 35 assists for Tampa Bay.
• Washington’s Logan Thompson is 25-3-5 this season, collecting 855 saves and permitting 75 goals (2.3 goals against average) with a .919 save percentage (fifth-best in the league).

Lightning’s Schedule

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Capitals’ Schedule

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Tampa Bay vs. Washington Game Info

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• How to watch on TV: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Venue: Capital One Arena

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